Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.633501 7.864990 9.225398 10.834693 12.681134 14.727987 17.163110
2025-02-09 5.005997 6.642240 8.624378 11.181228 14.368657 18.186184 23.076534
2025-02-16 3.824702 5.591509 7.905973 11.113303 15.388743 20.831744 28.214887
2025-02-23 2.923174 4.666689 7.116315 10.730949 15.834652 22.675103 32.404387
2025-03-02 2.257333 3.912323 6.392562 10.266139 16.022077 24.091357 36.047024
2025-03-09 1.870133 3.488148 6.055090 10.266509 16.803526 26.321391 40.911119
2025-03-16 1.577032 3.151791 5.786038 10.307387 17.607619 28.602014 45.969099
2025-03-23 1.331954 2.846092 5.510764 10.283434 18.277840 30.698649 50.864882
2025-03-30 1.074845 2.464094 5.041498 9.864121 18.248514 31.688390 54.112355
2025-04-06 0.920872 2.249237 4.832369 9.855066 18.874284 33.725347 59.087119
2025-04-13 0.785345 2.043391 4.606031 9.779101 19.362571 35.553044 63.819311
2025-04-20 0.731996 2.005130 4.697387 10.296859 20.928846 39.255554 71.805939
2025-04-27 0.670271 1.939233 4.730549 10.719689 22.384746 42.911618 80.014957
2025-05-04 0.620520 1.892328 4.797103 11.215738 24.018938 46.985379 89.177512
2025-05-11 0.537735 1.743843 4.620991 11.196248 24.671415 49.371782 95.581770
2025-05-18 0.444704 1.544760 4.298168 10.826440 24.602675 50.448315 99.748155
2025-05-25 0.361960 1.351351 3.954288 10.362640 24.292865 51.044710 103.071545
2025-06-01 0.316026 1.254239 3.827763 10.364473 24.923759 53.420476 109.717396
2025-06-08 0.278108 1.171885 3.724783 10.406153 25.636340 55.987124 116.838882
2025-06-15 0.242574 1.087170 3.601109 10.382149 26.201802 58.295843 123.589622
2025-06-22 0.198147 0.956791 3.328836 9.959394 25.853311 58.775343 126.895311
2025-06-29 0.173375 0.890880 3.227151 9.950278 26.423223 61.118837 133.884381
2025-07-06 0.150009 0.822469 3.105591 9.873683 26.829249 63.146842 140.352488